Tom Evslin has written what I think is the real distruptive model in consumer communications.
He calls it Base Assumption and if you are thinking of starting a business and love infrastructure - this is it.
Here is an excerpt:
“Within four years, possibly three, free WiFi will be available on the streets of every American city.� Building services, applications, and devices to take advantage of this capability will be the mainspring of Bubble 3.0 and may be the saving grace for American competitiveness. Extending this access to rural areas will be both a challenge and an opportunity.
Note that there is no source for this prediction; it is mine alone as far as I know.� If I were a gunner, I?d be known as good at azimuth and poor on range.� I usually get the direction right.� I?m usually (but not always) too optimistic on timing.
The preliminary selection of Google and EarthLink to unwire San Francisco is the critical straw in the wind.� Google says its plans don?t extend beyond San Francisco and its hometown of Mountain View, CA and Bryant park in NYC.� EarthLink, which already has a number of other municipal contracts is clear that intends to go much further.� Om Malik speculates credibly that Google will be a big part of this expansion.”
Google will be part of this expansion, but so can you. He has a list of the reasons of how this will come to pass and they are all sound.�
How? Ecosystem, baby. It is all in the ecosystem.
This means for you the entrepreneur that there will be municipal integration contracts, there will be advertising models we haven’t even thought of that you can create. There will be a need for local services directories and ways a person can leverage this network to find people, places and things.
Google will do a little bit of this, but the rest is all up for grabs.
Great job, Tom. Are you a CEO/Writer or a Futurist? I think you might have to add that to your title.
{ 2 comments }
wolske 04.25.06 at 11:40 pm
I’ll take “what was the business plan?” for $400.
cuz I didn’t see one.
was it in the ecosystem? because so far, that word means “la-la-la-laaa-la” to me. can you explain it further?
wolske 04.26.06 at 12:40 am
I’ll take “what was the business plan?” for $400.
cuz I didn’t see one.
was it in the ecosystem? because so far, that word means “la-la-la-laaa-la” to me. can you explain it further?
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